Photo from Variety

The Oscars are less than a week away! It’s been a long year and a long awards season. I actually haven’t reviewed most of these nominees. Apologies about that – it’s hard balancing writing reviews and having a full time job. But we have a pretty good line up this year.

I highly recommend checking out this year’s line up if you haven’t yet. I didn’t enjoy the Trial of Chicago 7 that much, but the other nominees like The Father, Wolfwalkers, Nomadland, and Minari are well worth watching. Here is the list of the full nominees here: https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2021


Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominations:

  • BORAT SUBSEQUENT MOVIEFILM: DELIVERY OF PRODIGIOUS BRIBE TO AMERICAN REGIME FOR MAKE BENEFIT ONCE GLORIOUS NATION OF KAZAKHSTAN (Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern)
  • THE FATHER (Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller)
  • NOMADLAND (Chloé Zhao)
  • ONE NIGHT IN MIAMI… (Kemp Powers)
  • THE WHITE TIGER (Ramin Bahrani)

Who Will Win: Nomadland

Who I Want to Win: The Father

I may have a bit of recency bias as I just watched The Father a few days ago, but I thought it was very well done. The film is from the point of view of an 80 year old man with dementia. The film was a bit confusing, but hits close to home, especially if you have a family member with dementia. Nomadland is also a great script and follows a lot of real life people, not actors. But overall I just found The Father to be more creatively written.


Best Original Screenplay

Nominations:

  • JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH (Will Berson & Shaka King)
  • MINARI (Lee Isaac Chung)
  • PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (Emerald Fennell)
  • SOUND OF METAL (Darius Marder & Abraham Marder)
  • THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7 (Aaron Sorkin)

Who Will Win: Promising Young Woman

Who I Want to Win: Promising Young Woman

Promising Young Woman is a daring screenplay. It takes big chances and has abrupt shifts in tone. The chances don’t work for everyone, and that’s ok, but I loved this story and that stems from the brilliant mind of Emerald Fennell, who also directed the film. Read my Promising Young Woman review here: https://www.irishfilmcritic.com/movie-review-promising-young-woman-is-a-delicious-revenge-tale-with-a-standout-performance-from-carey-mulligan/


Best Supporting Actor

Nominations:

  • SACHA BARON COHEN (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
  • DANIEL KALUUYA (Judas and the Black Messiah)
  • LESLIE ODOM, JR. (One Night in Miami…)
  • PAUL RACI (Sound of Metal)
  • LAKEITH STANFIELD (Judas and the Black Messiah)

Who Will Win: Daniel Kaluuya

Who I Want to Win: Daniel Kaluuya

Daniel Kaluuya gave a powerhouse performance this year. I actually wanted more of him in Judas and the Black Messiah. He was utterly mesmerizing on screen and probably gave the best performance of his career here. I can’t wait to see what Kaluuya does next. Also I’m so glad to see Paul Raci nominated in this category! Read my Judas and the Black Messiah review here: Judas and the Black Messiah (2021 – HBO Max)


Best Supporting Actress

Nominations:

  • MARIA BAKALOVA (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan)
  • GLENN CLOSE (Hillbilly Elegy)
  • OLIVIA COLMAN (The Father)
  • AMANDA SEYFRIED (Mank)
  • YUH-JUNG YOUN (Minari)

Who Will Win: Yuh-Jung Youn

Who I Want to Win: Yuh-Jung Youn or Maria Bakalova

Yuh-Jung Youn winning this award would make me so happy, I am a sucker for the doting grandmother role and am still bitter that Zhao Shu‑zhen’s Nai Nai from The Farewell was not even nominated last year. Youn plays a more hardened grandma who likes to gamble and curse, but she plays an important part for the family in Minari. However, a small part of me wants such a daring performance like Maria Bakalova to win, especially since comedies do not get the recognition they deserve. She is the best part of Borat 2. I also wanted to shout out Amanda Seyfriend who is just brilliant in Mank. Read my Mank review here: Mank (Netflix – 2020)


Best Actor

Nominations:

  • RIZ AHMED (Sound of Metal)
  • CHADWICK BOSEMAN (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  • ANTHONY HOPKINS (The Father)
  • GARY OLDMAN (Mank)
  • STEVEN YEUN (Minari)

Who Will Win: Chadwick Boseman

Who I Want to Win: Riz Ahmed or Anthony Hopkins

Chadwick Boseman is well deserving of this win. I will not at all be upset if he wins it. But I actually thought Riz Ahmed and Anthony Hopkins gave slightly better performances. Ahmed plays an angry drummer who suddenly finds himself loosing his hearing. An essential part of him is gone and he must learn to cope without his sense of hearing. Hopkins just gives a heartbreaking performance as Anthony in The Father, he really captures what it is like to be lost and not even recognize the people closest to you.


Best Actress

Nominations:

  • VIOLA DAVIS (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)
  • ANDRA DAY (The United States vs. Billie Holiday)
  • VANESSA KIRBY (Pieces of a Woman)
  • FRANCES MCDORMAND (Nomadland)
  • CAREY MULLIGAN (Promising Young Woman)

Who Will Win: ?

Who I Want to Win: Carey Mulligan

If there’s one category up in the air this year, it’s Best Actress. Each actress except for Vanessa Kirby has won some sort of acting award leading up to the Oscars. A part of me will be glad for Kirby to win this, but Mulligan’s performance just has not left me. Mulligan plays Cassie, who is tormented by the death of her best friend, so she seeks out men in bars who would take advantage of her and gives them a proper scare.


Best Director

Nominations:

  • Thomas Vinterberg (ANOTHER ROUND)
  • David Fincher (MANK)
  • Lee Isaac Chung (MINARI)
  • Chloé Zhao (NOMADLAND)
  • Emerald Fennell (PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN)

Who Will Win: Chloé Zhao

Who I Want to Win: Chloé Zhao

Not only would Zhao be the second woman in all of Oscar’s history to win Best Director, she would be the first woman of color. Zhao showcased utter mastery with Nomadland. She knew exactly what shots would leave an impact on the audience. She got the best performances out of her actors (and non-actors). Plus the pacing of the film never falters, she keeps a slow and steady pace while telling Fran’s (Frances McDormand) story.


Best Picture

Nominations:

  • THE FATHER
  • JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH
  • MANK
  • MINARI
  • NOMADLAND
  • PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN
  • SOUND OF METAL
  • THE TRIAL OF THE CHICAGO 7

Who Will Win: Nomadland

Who I Want to Win: Minari

Nomadland is a film about simple living. Minari is a family film. Nomadland is deserving of this win as it captures the beauty of nature and is an American story about a woman preserving and living how she likes despite the hardships. Minari follows a immigrant family who starts a farm in Arkansas, there’s tension between the family and a question on if the parent’s marriage will last. Both Nomadland and Minari are beautiful films, but Minari left more of an impact on me. The story is relatable. It’s also expertly shot and written, plus has the added cuteness of Alan Kim who plays David. Every person in Minari gave 100% and it shows.


Are you excited for the Oscars this year? Did you even get a chance to check out these films? I know a lot haven’t. Let me know your predictions!

2 thoughts on “2021 Oscar Predictions

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